IN SPOTLIGHT

The war in Ukraine, three years on: Which scenarios still stand?

In 2022, we outlined four possible futures for the war in Ukraine. Now, three years later, as new geopolitical realities emerge, it’s time to reassess which scenarios still hold and what the latest developments mean for Ukraine, Russia, and the West.

 
 

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Scenarios Jukka Laikari, Tuomo Kuosa, Marianna Mäki-Teeri, Max Stucki, Shiori Ota Scenarios Jukka Laikari, Tuomo Kuosa, Marianna Mäki-Teeri, Max Stucki, Shiori Ota

Rebuilding Ukraine: Four Future Scenarios

The cost of Ukraine's reconstruction stands at a staggering $486 billion—and climbs higher with each passing day. Timely decisions on investments, workforce, and resources will define the nation’s post-war recovery and long-term future.

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Future Trends Hanna Veltheim Future Trends Hanna Veltheim

Cyber Wargames: Rapidly Rising Stakes

For more than 13 years, NATO has conducted cyber wargames that simulate complex decision-making in cyberspace. The focus, along with the invitation list, has widened to include all forms of cybersecurity, and in 2020, white-hat hackers were included for the first time.

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